Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.327944 2.819236 3.372678 4.039863 4.819762 5.699883 6.765466
2025-04-27 1.686388 2.321226 3.116339 4.174967 5.535720 7.213154 9.422767
2025-05-04 1.318160 2.023518 2.989037 4.383212 6.316061 8.868179 12.452969
2025-05-11 1.007092 1.708235 2.747993 4.360709 6.747356 10.087388 15.036586
2025-05-18 0.756570 1.410936 2.456919 4.189456 6.908782 10.915686 17.136937
2025-05-25 0.569059 1.162788 2.181983 3.976869 6.950216 11.540240 18.970011
2025-06-01 0.460779 1.022569 2.050246 3.960009 7.274508 12.598227 21.523442
2025-06-08 0.382719 0.918163 1.957458 3.986518 7.659807 13.773083 24.345937
2025-06-15 0.316065 0.818892 1.852975 3.969987 7.959126 14.823240 27.043676
2025-06-22 0.245449 0.691271 1.666696 3.766217 7.891058 15.237085 28.708772
2025-06-29 0.204238 0.620003 1.581072 3.742430 8.144860 16.219594 31.404978
2025-07-06 0.170144 0.556469 1.499003 3.710722 8.374362 17.170889 34.110985
2025-07-13 0.155494 0.541851 1.528260 3.926239 9.128812 19.168769 38.879583
2025-07-20 0.138090 0.514565 1.522499 4.064098 9.741773 20.956494 43.407192
2025-07-27 0.126073 0.499869 1.545149 4.269813 10.518417 23.119854 48.787134
2025-08-03 0.106177 0.453553 1.476447 4.248652 10.803598 24.343874 52.477579
2025-08-10 0.084627 0.393354 1.356505 4.081555 10.743997 24.869311 54.854970
2025-08-17 0.066052 0.335802 1.229759 3.873881 10.562893 25.123375 56.707232
2025-08-24 0.055841 0.306282 1.179198 3.857440 10.824343 26.317397 60.514041
2025-08-31 0.048166 0.284035 1.146193 3.883362 11.189468 27.758978 64.917862
2025-09-07 0.040821 0.259833 1.101003 3.867210 11.447884 28.986246 68.955085
2025-09-14 0.031700 0.222079 0.999423 3.668079 11.218352 29.110036 70.675246
2025-09-21 0.026739 0.202816 0.958594 3.644835 11.441082 30.270540 74.683522